Style Point Ratings for Europe’s Remaining Weekend Matches (10/4/2014)

Recently, in these pages, the author introduced a new iteration of only a slightly less new metric called Style Points, itself designed to estimate roughly, on a scale of 0 to 10, the aesthetic appeal of each club currently playing in Europe’s five major leagues and also the MLS. What follows is a table featuring not Style Point club scores, but rather match scores, for the weekend’s European matches with scheduled kickoff times of 2pm ET or later on Saurday.

Match scores are produced merely by averaging the Style Point figures for each club — a methodology which, for what it lacks in sophistication, makes up for in being easy to produce.

Here are all of the remaining matches in Europe this weekend by this clearly flawed metric:

Match Projections for Week 27 of the English Premier League

Below are the match projections for Week 27* of the English Premier League, calculated in much the same manner as the other match projections which appear in these electronic pages.

*Which matchday begins today (Saturday).

The methodology utilized to produce these figures is presented here. In brief, however, what the author has done is to utilize a hot expected goals formula in combination with a sexy Poisson distribution to calculate the probability of every possible scoring outcome between the clubs playing this weekend. The % symbol in the table represents the likelihood of the three relevant outcomes in each match.

So, for example, in Saturday’s Chelsea-Everton match, there appears to be about a 48% chance of a Chelsea victory, a 27% chance of victory for Everton, and another 25% chance of a draw.

Here’s the complete table of this week’s match projections:

Projected Final Table for the English Premier League (Current Through Week 26)

Below is the projected final table for the English Premier League current through the 26th matchday of same and calculated in much the same manner as the other projected final tables which have appeared in these electronic pages.

The precise methodology for these entirely scientific tables is discussed here. Generally speaking, however, what the author has done is to calculate from three variables — shots taken in the box, shots conceded in the box, and possession rate (all of which correlate rather strongly with season-end performance) — a league-specific algorithm for estimating points. That the author is an imbecile also oughtn’t be ignored.

Here’s the updated, projected final table for the EPL:

Projected Final Table for the English Premier League (Current Through Week 25)

Below is the projected final table for the English Premier League current through the 25th matchday of same and calculated in much the same manner as the other projected final tables which have appeared in these electronic pages.

The precise methodology for these entirely scientific tables is discussed here. Generally speaking, however, what the author has done is to calculate from three variables — shots taken in the box, shots conceded in the box, and possession rate (all of which correlate rather strongly with season-end performance) — a league-specific algorithm for estimating points. That the author is an imbecile also oughtn’t be ignored.

Here’s the updated, projected final table for the EPL:

Projected Final Table for the English Premier League (Current Through Week 24)

Below is the projected final table for the English Premier League current through the 24th matchday of same and calculated in much the same manner as the other projected final tables which have appeared in these electronic pages.

The precise methodology for these entirely scientific tables is discussed here. Generally speaking, however, what the author has done is to calculate from three variables — shots taken in the box, shots conceded in the box, and possession rate (all of which correlate rather strongly with season-end performance) — a league-specific algorithm for estimating points. That the author is an imbecile also oughtn’t be ignored.

Here’s the updated, projected final table for the EPL:

Match Projections for Week 24 of the English Premier League

Below are the match projections for Week 24* of the English Premier League, calculated in much the same manner as the other match projections which appear in these electronic pages.

*Which matchday begins on Saturday.

The methodology utilized to produce these figures is presented here. In brief, however, what the author has done is to utilize a hot expected goals formula in combination with a sexy Poisson distribution to calculate the probability of every possible scoring outcome between the clubs playing this weekend. The % symbol in the table represents the likelihood of the three relevant outcomes in each match.

So, for example, in this week’s Manchester City-Chelsea match (on Monday), there appears to be about a 60% chance of a City victory, a 17% chance of victory for Chelsea, and another 23% chance of a draw.

Here’s the complete table of this week’s match projections:

Match Projections for Week 22 of the English Premier League

Below are the match projections for Week 22* of the English Premier League, calculated in much the same manner as the other match projections which appear in these electronic pages.

*Which matchday begins on Saturday.

The methodology utilized to produce these figures is presented here. In brief, however, what the author has done is to utilize a hot expected goals formula in combination with a sexy Poisson distribution to calculate the probability of every possible scoring outcome between the clubs playing this weekend. The % symbol in the table represents the likelihood of the three relevant outcomes in each match.

So, for example, in this weekend’s Chelsea-Manchester United match (on Sunday), there appears to be about a 50% chance of a Chelsea victory, a 25% chance of victory for United, and another 25% chance of a draw.

Here’s the complete table of this week’s match projections:

Style Points: A Rough, Objective Measure of Every Club’s Aesthetic Appeal

In his “career” as a “baseball writer,” the author has abused the generosity of his employer constantly — in no greater a capacity than in the production of a metric called NERD, by means of which metric he has attempted to render objectively the aesthetic appeal of this particular pitcher or that particular club to the sort of educated and bespectacled people who read the internet weblog FanGraphs.